Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.037378 0.040326 0.043418 0.046908 0.050743 0.054835 0.059540
2025-05-11 0.032477 0.036618 0.041199 0.046663 0.053029 0.060242 0.069077
2025-05-18 0.029138 0.033944 0.039478 0.046361 0.054750 0.064715 0.077559
2025-05-25 0.026756 0.031996 0.038225 0.046245 0.056392 0.068935 0.085818
2025-06-01 0.024602 0.030062 0.036726 0.045556 0.057087 0.071834 0.092448
2025-06-08 0.022729 0.028288 0.035232 0.044663 0.057326 0.074016 0.098146
2025-06-15 0.021314 0.026973 0.034189 0.044215 0.058026 0.076749 0.104695
2025-06-22 0.020100 0.025823 0.033259 0.043808 0.058687 0.079390 0.111232
2025-06-29 0.018871 0.024567 0.032092 0.042968 0.058635 0.080956 0.116237
2025-07-06 0.018236 0.024068 0.031905 0.043453 0.060462 0.085305 0.125736
2025-07-13 0.017500 0.023381 0.031408 0.043443 0.061531 0.088563 0.133761
2025-07-20 0.016997 0.022986 0.031288 0.043954 0.063382 0.093097 0.144179
2025-07-27 0.016286 0.022268 0.030675 0.043707 0.064072 0.095897 0.152030
2025-08-03 0.015654 0.021631 0.030144 0.043545 0.064872 0.098908 0.160495
2025-08-10 0.015042 0.020992 0.029574 0.043282 0.065475 0.101614 0.168637
2025-08-17 0.014519 0.020458 0.029129 0.043178 0.066315 0.104748 0.177801
2025-08-24 0.013897 0.019746 0.028379 0.042545 0.066226 0.106271 0.184090
2025-08-31 0.013269 0.019000 0.027543 0.041723 0.065761 0.107088 0.189079
2025-09-07 0.012782 0.018447 0.026979 0.041310 0.065960 0.109075 0.196497
2025-09-14 0.012333 0.017936 0.026456 0.040936 0.066192 0.111122 0.204199
2025-09-21 0.011821 0.017306 0.025719 0.040162 0.065669 0.111730 0.208995
2025-09-28 0.011608 0.017135 0.025706 0.040609 0.067344 0.116550 0.223035
2025-10-05 0.011308 0.016816 0.025437 0.040599 0.068184 0.119826 0.234087